Cutplot

Satellite-planned crop-cutting samples so states settle crop insurance sooner

Government Rural

TL;DR Cutplot uses satellite imagery to plan where and how many crop-cutting experiments each insurance unit needs under India's crop insurance scheme, then tracks the field teams doing them. State agriculture departments pay, with insurers as a second buyer. Faster, cleaner yield data means farmers' claims stop waiting on paperwork.

The problem

Under PMFBY, a farmer's claim hangs on the yield the state measures through crop-cutting experiments. The rules ask for at least 4 experiments per village for major crops and 8 for others, and 24 per district where the district is the unit[1]. The scheme document itself admits this process lacks reliability and speed, and that this hurts claim settlement[1].

You can see the cost of that delay. In 2018, farmers' claims worth ₹2,829 crore from two seasons were still unpaid, with the ministry saying most rabi 2017-18 claims hadn't even been estimated yet[2]. That figure is old, but the bottleneck it describes still runs through the same field experiments.

The idea

What it does, in regulatory terms: decision support for sampling. Cutplot does not set yields or decide claims. The state remains the yield authority, and the scheme's Technical Advisory Committee rules on experiment design[1].

Before harvest, Cutplot maps each insurance unit from satellite imagery and groups fields by crop health. Uniform units get a smaller sample but patchy units keep the full count, with plots placed where the variation is. The scheme document already describes this method and expects it to cut the total number of experiments by about 30–40%[1]. During harvest, a phone app checks that each experiment happens at the assigned plot, with time stamps and photos, and flags results that disagree with the imagery.

I reframed the seed, which pitched satellite analytics to stop farmers' yield losses. Farm advisory from satellites is a crowded space, and no image ever stopped a drought. The narrower gap is the measurement step that decides when insured farmers get paid.

Who pays

The state agriculture department pays, because it runs the experiments. The scheme splits the cost of technology for these experiments 50:50 between the centre and the state[1], which lowers the state's bill. Insurers are a second buyer - they want yield figures they trust and fewer disputes. My assumption is pricing per insurance unit per season, set against what states spend on field staff today.

Why now

The government's own crop forecasting centre, MNCFC, now supports PMFBY with technology programmes and ran YES-TECH training on crop simulation models in January 2025[3]. States are being asked to bring technology into yield estimation, and they need vendors who can actually run it at village scale.

Market signal

There's no public figure for state spending on crop-cutting experiments or on technology-based sampling. The firmest signal is the scheme rule itself - a 30–40% cut in experiments is the stated target[1], and the centre co-funds the technology. Treat the unpaid-claims figure[2] as evidence of pain, not of budget.

Who's already doing this

MNCFC and the agencies it works with are the incumbents for technology yields[3]. A Bengaluru satellite-analytics firm sells farm intelligence, mainly to lenders, and reports 85 million hectares monitored[4]. Agritech platforms run agri-intelligence tools for agribusiness. I didn't find a vendor focused only on planning and auditing the crop-cutting sample for a state.

How hard is it?

Difficulty Moderate (48/100)
Starting capital ₹70 L–1.4 Cr
Time to launch 9–15 months

The remote-sensing work is well known. Selling to state governments is the hard bit, along with winning tenders and getting the Technical Advisory Committee to accept a smaller sample. You'll also need field partners in each district during harvest, because a plan nobody follows on the ground proves nothing.

Licences and approvals

No licence to operate, but you can't sell anything until the scheme's rules allow your method.

  • PMFBY operational rules put crop-cutting experiments with the state and sampling questions with the Technical Advisory Committee. Get its acceptance before scaling[1].
  • MNCFC alignment on technology yield methods for PMFBY, before you bid, since it coordinates these programmes[3].
  • State procurement rules for any government contract, before you sign.
  • DPDP Act processing of farmer plot data only as the state's processor under contract, before launch[5].
  • Company registration with the MCA and GST once over the threshold.

Building this outside India? The categories above usually have a local equivalent, so check with your own regulator.

How AI can power this business

  • Field grouping. Cluster fields in each insurance unit by crop health from satellite imagery, so uniform units need fewer experiments.
  • Plot placement. Pick sample plots where the variation is, instead of at random, so the smaller sample still represents the unit.
  • Field checks. Match each experiment's photos, time stamps and location against the assigned plot and flag mismatches.
  • Result flags. Compare reported yields with the imagery and send outliers for a second look before the state finalises them.

AI must not set yields or decide claims. Those stay with the state and the Technical Advisory Committee, and bad imagery in cloudy seasons can mislead any model.

Want to work out the AI layer for Cutplot? Talk to Yash →

Biggest risks

  • Statistical acceptance. If the committee or insurers reject reduced samples then the product shrinks to a tracking app.
  • Government sales cycles. Tenders, payment delays and changing officers can stretch cash for a year or more.
  • Incumbent capture. MNCFC or a large insurer may build the same capability in-house.

Our take

Honestly, this is a slow one. It suits a founder with remote-sensing depth who has already sold to state agriculture departments. If you need fast revenue then walk away now. Prove first that, in one district, the smaller sample gives yields within an agreed margin of the full sample.

Questions founders ask

Plan for roughly ₹70 L–1.4 Cr, mostly for remote-sensing staff, field partners and the long wait for state contracts.

Do I need a licence to work on crop insurance sampling in India?

No licence, but the Technical Advisory Committee must accept your sampling method and state procurement rules apply to every contract.

Can I start a satellite crop yield business in another country?

Yes, wherever insurers rely on field yield checks. Check how your local scheme sets yields and who buys the data.

Download the kit

The free Cutplot validation kit has the line-by-line capital breakdown, the effort scoring, the scheme and tender checklist, a 14-day validation sprint with pass/fail targets, a 90-day launch plan, 10 interview questions for states and insurers, and 5 assumptions to test. Download the kit →

Talk to Yash

Thinking about building Cutplot or something close to it? The make-or-break work is getting one state's technical committee to accept a smaller, satellite-planned sample, and I can help you plan that pitch and the money behind it. If you need a hand, you know where to find me. Talk to Yash →

Sources

  1. Department of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, "Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana scheme document", accessed 2026-10-21. https://pmfby.gov.in/pdf/New%20Schemes-english_.pdf
  2. The Wire, "Farmers' claims worth Rs 2,800 crore unpaid under crop insurance scheme", 2018-11-27. https://thewire.in/agriculture/modi-crop-insurance-scheme-pmfby-farmers-unpaid-rs-2800-crore
  3. Mahalanobis National Crop Forecast Centre, official site, accessed 2026-10-21. https://www.ncfc.gov.in/
  4. SatSure, "Turning farm data into a financial identity for millions of farmers", 2026. https://www.satsure.co/blogs/turning-farm-data-into-a-financial-identity-for-millions-of-farmers/
  5. PRS Legislative Research, "Digital Personal Data Protection Bill 2023", 2023-08. https://prsindia.org/billtrack/digital-personal-data-protection-bill-2023

For illustration only. Names are fictional and ideas hypothetical; sourced facts are real but may be out of date. Nothing here is legal, financial or professional advice, and Yash Khatri is not personally liable for any use of it. Read the full disclaimer.

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