Faultpool

Shared fault models for rooftop solar installers, without pooling their data

Climate Tech IoT SMEs

TL;DR Faultpool gives small rooftop solar installers early warning of inverter and string faults across the homes they maintain. Each installer's data stays on its own server, but the fault model learns from all of them together. Installers pay per site per year, because fewer truck rolls and fewer angry customers protect their margin.

The problem

India had 33.41 GW of grid-connected rooftop solar by the end of September 2026[1], a good chunk of it on homes under PM Surya Ghar, which targets about one crore households and pays subsidies of ₹30,000–78,000 per home through registered vendors[2]. Those vendors are mostly small firms, and many also sell annual maintenance contracts[3].

A small installer looks after a few hundred systems. It sees too few inverter failures to learn the patterns that come before them, so it finds out when a customer calls about a high bill. Inverters are known to cause a large share of solar system faults, though the one field study I found gives no figure[4], and there's no public failure rate for Indian rooftop systems that I could find.

The idea

Faultpool installs a small agent on each installer's server or cloud account. It reads the generation and alarm data the inverters already send and compares each site with its expected output for that day's weather. The fault model trains through federated learning - each installer's copy learns locally, and only model updates travel to Faultpool, never the raw readings or customer names. A 2026 study of substation equipment found this approach workable across utilities with different data, with F-scores of 0.60–0.88, though on simulated data[5].

Each morning the installer gets a ranked list of sites losing output, inverters showing early fault patterns and the likely cause.

I reframed the seed. It pitched federated learning for critical infrastructure such as utilities. One state utility has few peers willing to federate, and it can share data by contract anyway. Federated learning fits better where many small competitors own similar assets and refuse to share customer data.

Who pays

The installer pays and the homeowner benefits. My working assumption is ₹300–800 per site a year, which is small next to a system that costs about ₹50,000 per kW to build[3]. Inverter brands and lenders who finance rooftop systems are a second buyer later. The pitch to an installer is simple - one avoided wasted visit a month should pay for a few hundred sites.

Why now

PM Surya Ghar has put large numbers of homes in the care of small installers within two years, and open-source federated learning tools such as Flower, with 180+ contributors, now make the training plumbing cheap[6]. Installers who sell annual maintenance contracts also carry the cost of every missed fault[3].

Market signal

Nobody publishes a figure for spending on rooftop solar monitoring in India. The firm number is the installed base of 33.41 GW of rooftop capacity[1] and a scheme aimed at about one crore homes[2].

If you want a real number then count the sites your first 20 installers maintain and price from that.

Who's already doing this

Inverter makers run their own monitoring clouds, but each sees only its own brand and rarely predicts faults. Larger installers run in-house operations teams[3]. Utility-grade asset platforms target big plants.

I found no product that pools fault learning across small Indian installers while keeping their data apart. That's the gap.

How hard is it?

Difficulty Moderate (48/100)
Starting capital ₹1.2–2.2 Cr
Time to launch 9–12 months

Reading data from many inverter brands, each with its own format, is slow and unglamorous work. Federated training across installers with uneven data is still research-grade. And the product only earns trust once it predicts a failure that a technician then actually finds on the roof, and does it more than once.

Licences and approvals

The software itself needs no sector licence. The rules that matter sit with your customers and their equipment.

  • Company or LLP registration with the MCA, and GST once you cross the threshold, before your first installer contract.
  • DPDP Act compliance before launch. Site data tied to a named household is personal data, so sign processor contracts and keep raw readings on the installer's side[7].
  • PM Surya Ghar vendor terms before you pitch. Installers work as registered vendors under the scheme, so read its current monitoring and service duties[2].
  • Inverter warranty terms before connecting. Some makers void support if third parties write to the inverter, so read data only and never send commands.

Building this outside India? The categories above usually have a local equivalent, so check with your own regulator.

How AI can power this business

  • Federated fault models. Each installer's copy learns from its own inverters, and only model updates travel, so competitors gain from a shared model without sharing customer data.
  • Daily underperformance list. The model compares each site's output with what that day's weather should give, and ranks the sites losing the most generation.
  • Likely-cause hints. Alarm codes and output patterns suggest whether it's soiling, a string fault or an inverter failing, so the technician carries the right parts.
  • Brand data mapping. A model can help map each inverter brand's data format into one schema, which speeds up onboarding.

Don't trust a flag until a technician has confirmed it on the roof, and never let the system send commands to inverters.

Want to work out the AI layer for Faultpool? Talk to Yash →

Biggest risks

Here's what can go south -

  • Thin data. Many cheap inverters report little beyond daily output, which may not carry early fault signs.
  • Installer churn. Small installers come and go, and with them your sites and model updates.
  • Brand clouds improve. Large inverter makers could add fault prediction for free.

Our take

Good for a founder with solar operations or inverter firmware experience. If you want to sell federated learning as the headline then avoid it, because installers buy fewer site visits and not buzzwords.

Prove one thing first - across five installers, at least 60% of Faultpool's flagged sites show a real fault on inspection.

Questions founders ask

Plan for roughly ₹1.2–2.2 Cr, mostly on engineers, inverter integrations and the research work federated training needs.

Do I need a licence to start solar monitoring software in India?

No sector licence for the software. You need company registration, GST, DPDP processor contracts and a careful read of PM Surya Ghar vendor terms and inverter warranties.

Can I start a solar fault prediction company in another country?

Yes, any market with many small rooftop installers fits the model. Check local data protection law and the inverter makers' terms there first.

Download the kit

The free Faultpool validation kit has the line-by-line capital breakdown, the effort scoring, the data and contract checklist, a 14-day validation sprint with pass/fail targets, a 90-day launch plan, 10 interview questions for installers, and 5 assumptions to test. Download the kit →

Talk to Yash

Thinking about building Faultpool or something close to it? The make-or-break work is getting usable data out of a dozen inverter brands and proving early catches on real roofs, and that's the kind of plan I help founders put together. If you need a hand, you know where to find me. Talk to Yash →

Sources

  1. MNRE, "Physical progress", accessed 2026-10-21. https://mnre.gov.in/en/physical-progress/
  2. Wikipedia, "Pradhan Mantri Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana", accessed 2026-10-21. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pradhan_Mantri_Surya_Ghar_Muft_Bijli_Yojana
  3. SolarSquare, "Virtual net metering", accessed 2026-10-21. https://www.solarsquare.in/blog/virtual-net-metering/
  4. Kull et al., "Comprehensive diagnostic assessment of inverter failures in a utility-scale solar power plant", Sensors 25(12), 2025-06-13. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12197166/
  5. Ghosh & Mittal, "Federated learning for critical electrical infrastructure", Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence 8, 2026-01-27. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12886403/
  6. Flower Labs, official site, accessed 2026-10-21. https://flower.ai/
  7. PRS Legislative Research, "Digital Personal Data Protection Bill 2023", 2023-08. https://prsindia.org/billtrack/digital-personal-data-protection-bill-2023

For illustration only. Names are fictional and ideas hypothetical; sourced facts are real but may be out of date. Nothing here is legal, financial or professional advice, and Yash Khatri is not personally liable for any use of it. Read the full disclaimer.

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